Tuesday, February 18, 2020

A STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF ROAD ACCIDENTS


A STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF ROAD ACCIDENTS IN EKITI STATE
TABLE OF CONTENTS

CHAPTER ONE
1.0  Introduction                                                                                                1
1.1  Background of the study                                                                                           1 – 3
1.2  Statement of the problem                                                                                          3
1.3  Objective of the study                                                                                               3
1.4  Research questions                                                                                                    4
1.5  Significance of the study                                                                                           4
1.6  Scope and limitation of the study                                                                              4 – 5
1.7  Definition of terms                                                                                                    5
1.8  Organization of the study                                                                                          5

CHAPTER TWO
2.0  Review of related literature                                                                                       6
2.1  Introduction                                                                                                               6
2.2  Overview and history of Ekiti State                                                                          6 – 7
2.3  An overview of the Federal Road Safety Commission                                             7 – 8

2.4  Most accident have been caused by a whole lot of factors, prominent among        8 - 10
       Them are listed below
2.5  Statutory functions of FRSC                                                                                    10

CHAPTER THREE
3.0  Research Methodology                                                                                              11
3.1  Research Design                                                                                                        11
3.2  Sources of data collection                                                                                          11
3.3  Population of the study                                                                                              11
3.4  Sample and sampling procedure                                                                                11
3.5  Instrument for data collection                                                                                    12
3.6  Validation of the research instrument                                                                         12
3.7  Method of data analysis                                                                                              13
         
CHAPTER FOUR
4.0  Presentation analysis interpretation of data                                                                 14
4.1  Introduction, Data analysis                                                                                          14 – 17

CHAPTER FIVE
5.0  Summary, conclusion and recommendation                                                                 18
5.1  Summary                                                                                                                       18
5.2  Conclusion                                                                                                                     18
5.3  Recommendation                                                                                                           19
5.4  References                                                                                                                      20 - 23






CHAPTER ONE
INTRODUCTION
1.1     Background of the study
The process of rapid and unplanned urbanization and the attendant transportation problems has resulted in an unprecedented revolution in the growth of motor vehicles worldwide. The alarming increase in morbidity and mortality owing to road traffic accidents over the past few decades is a matter of great concern globally. Worldwide, the number of people killed in road traffic crashes each year is estimated at about 1.2million while the number injured could be as high as 50million. The problem is increasing in the developing countries at a fast rate, while it is declining in all industrialized nations. Furthermore, 90% of road traffic death was found to occur in low income and middle income countries Odero W. (2009) – the group to which Nigeria belongs. In Nigeria, fatal road accidents were said to be on the rise and a major cause of death in adults less than 50 years old in the country. Statistics from the Nigeria Police shows that from 1955 to 1998, the number of people killed in road accidents increased from 489 in 1955 to 6500 in 1998. By the turn of 2004, the number was put at 5351 after falling from an all time peak of 11,382 in 1982. Similarly, there has been a decline in the number of reported accident cases. It first rose from 1413 in 1960 to its highest value of 40,881 in 1976, before declining to 14,361 in 2004. Likewise, the number of persons injured rose continually from 10,216 in 1960 to 30,023 in 1978 and fell to 16,897 in 2004. These statistics are found to be much lower than the estimated values for Nigeria, especially by the World Health Organization (WHO) (5). This may not be unconnected with the poor recording habit in the nation (6). According to WHO (7), almost 16,000 people die from injuries sustained in road mishaps in Nigeria yearly, while several thousands more end up with non- fatal injuries and permanent disabilities. In Nigeria, as in most developing countries, a large number of hospital beds are occupied by road accident casualties, representing high social security cost for often tiny budgets. The personal and social cost of those injuries is enormous and is aggravated by the poor financial status of the people affected by the problem. This number of people with injuries and permanent disabilities is the interest of this study. Definitely, a few studies have attempted to study the pattern of road traffic accident inflicted injuries in Nigeria. At the very least, it is obvious that the efforts of the Federal Road Safety Commission (FRSC) in policy formulation targeted towards safety improvement are a product of such studies Aluko O.O. (2006). The present study is thus intended to add to the existing knowledge on the pattern of road traffic accidents in Ekiti state.
Road transportation is by far the commonest means of transportation in Nigeria when compared to other means like air, rail and water. The technology has made life easy compared to previous means of transportation such as the use of animals during the pre-colonial era. Nigerian economy despite its flaws, has afforded a large number of its populace the means to own cars making road traffic a major problem with grave disadvantages. In Ekiti, road accidents have been a disturbing phenomenon that has constituted a menace. It is generally believed but not statistically proven that the rate of road accidents in Nigeria has geometrically increased. Road accidents are caused by various reasons, ranging from carelessness on the part of the drivers to the deplorable nature of our roads. Put differently, Nigerian roads have become killing fields without protection for their users. Travellers heave a sigh of relief if they make their destinations. The worrisome trend has tremendous negative impact on the nation’s health system as well as its social and economic aspirations. It was estimated that the total number of registered vehicles in Nigeria rose between 1990 – 2006 from 700,000 to 6,000,000 (Umar 2010). Despite the happiness this brought and change of quality of family lives associated with owning a vehicle, its possession has made so many families bereaved of their breadwinners or lovely ones due to unprecedented rate of road traffic accidents in Nigeria. According to the Federal Road Safety Commission, not less than 88,520 road users lost their lives between 1991 and 2000 alone, most victims being between 20-40 years.  There is need to view road accident as a very major issue requiring urgent attention aimed at preventing premature deaths, reducing the health, social and economic impacts it portends to the average Nigerian. This disturbing assertion will be the bedrock of our statistical study on road accidents in Nigeria.
            1.2 STATEMENT OF THE PROBLEM
In Ekiti State today, the issue of road accidents has become a teething problem. According to premium times newspaper in a truck accident in January 2019, many people were killed as a truck conveying bags of rice crushed many to death in Iworoko, Ekiti State.In another accident on the 18th September 2018 Eighteen people were reportedly killed in an early morning road crash in Awo community in Irepodun/Ifelodun LGA of Ekiti State.
There has been a major problem of the cardinal factors responsible for road accidents in Ekiti. Another problem is to know if accidents in Ekiti state are related to sex, age and educational background of road users. There is also confusion as to the major causes of road accidents in Nigeria. The above problems have been our chief motivators in undertaking this statistical research work.
1.3 OBJECTIVE OF THE STUDY
This study is aimed at establishing the following objectives:
1.      To know if road accidents in Ekiti State are gender based, that is, do female road users fall victim of road accidents than their male counterparts
2.       To equally know if road accidents in Ekiti are age based.
3.       To ascertain if there is a statistically significant relationship between educational background and road accidents in Ekiti State.
4.      To know if record of road accidents in Ekiti has increased or not.
5.      To educate Ekiti State residents and those interested in this study on the outcome of our research

1.4 RESEARCH QUESTIONS:
For the successful completion of the study, the following research hypotheses were formulated by the researcher; 
1.      Is there any significant relationship between educational background and road accident in Ekiti state?
2.      Does road accident in Ekiti state base on age?
           1.5 SIGNIFICANCE OF THE STUDY
One major significance of this study is to educate millions of Nigerians Ekiti state residents in particular on the  main causes of road accidents and ways to prevent or reduce them on our roads. Another significance of this study is to know if the number of road accidents has increased overtime. Thirdly, to know if the reported number of road accidents in Ekiti State is gender based and also to know if there is a relationship between educational background and road accidents in Ekiti State Nigeria.
1.6 SCOPE AND LIMITATION OF THE STUDY
For the purpose of this study as the topic depicts, the scope of the essay will be focused on the statistical analysis on the causes of road accidents in Nigeria. To know the relationship between bio- data factors and road accidents in Ekiti, that is, knowing if there is a relationship between age, educational background and gender on road accidents in the State. It is necessary to mention some of the limitation of this research work. One of the major limitations is in the getting relevant educational materials used in the research work. Another limitation of this research work is the difficulty in obtaining relevant information in that a few of our values were missing but these missing values were not statistically significant enough to be noticed.It is hoped that despite this limitation, the study would still be useful to the Ekiti State Government and Ekiti state residents. Nigerians, organizations etc.
1.7 DEFINITION OF TERMS
Accident: an unpleasant event especially in a vehicle that happens unexpectedly and causes injury or damage
Road accident: a traffic accident involving vehicles, pedestrians or cyclists.
            1.8 ORGANIZATION OF THE STUDY
This research work is organized in five chapters, for easy understanding, as follows
Chapter one is concern with the introduction, which consist of the (overview, of the study), historical background, statement of problem, objectives of the study, research hypotheses, significance of the study, scope and limitation of the study, definition of terms and historical background of the study. Chapter two highlights the theoretical framework on which the study is based, thus the review of related literature. Chapter three deals on the research design and methodology adopted in the study. Chapter four concentrate on the data collection and analysis and presentation of finding.  Chapter five gives summary, conclusion, and recommendations made of the study




CHAPTER TWO
REVIEW OF RELATED LITERATURE
2.1 INTRODUCTION
This chapter reviews the literature on the impact of bad debt in commercial bank lending in Nigeria. It discusses issues arising from the topic of interest as viewed from different perspectives, with a view of giving a theoretical and empirical foundation to the study.
2.2 OVERVIEW AND HISTORY OF EKITI STATE
Ekiti State is in Southwest region of Nigeria, declared a state on 1 October 1996 alongside five other states in the country by the then military government under head of state, General Sani Abacha. As one of the newest states of the Nigerian federation, it was carved out of the territory of old Ondo State, and covers the former 12 local government areas that made up the Ekiti Zone of old Ondo State. On creation, it had 16 Local Government Areas (LGAs), having had an additional four carved out of the old ones. Ekiti State is one of the 36 states (Inc. Federal Capital Territory (Nigeria)) that constitute Nigeria.
The State is mainly an upland zone, rising over 250 meters above sea level. It lies on an area underlain by metamorphic rock. It is generally an undulating part of the country with a characteristic landscape that consists of old plains broken by step-sided out-crops that may occur singularly or in groups or ridges. Such rocks out-crops exist mainly at AramokoEfon-AlaiyeIkere-Ekiti, Igbara-odo- ekiti and Okemesi-Ekiti. The State is dotted with rugged hills, notable ones being Ikere-Ekiti Hills in the south, Efon-Alaiye Hills on the western boundary and Ado-Ekiti Hills in the center. Due to increase in economic activities in the state there is a need to assess road accidents in the state.
2.3 AN OVERVIEW OF THE FEDERAL ROAD SAFETY COMMISSION
The Federal Road Safety commission (FRSC) is a government agent with statutory responsibility for road safety administration in Nigeria. It was established in 1988. the federal road safety corps (FRSC) operates in all Nigerian states as well as the federal capital territory (FCT) A corps marshal of the FRSC Osita Chidoka (2008) said that 18300 road accidents have claimed 51251 persons injured in Nigeria in the past three years. He further explained errant petroleum tankers drivers were responsible for most of the accident in Nigeria he said that in the first three months of the year 2007, 2119 accidents involving tankers drivers claimed 301 lives meanwhile; one analyst has said the figure of fatalities by the police is a gross under – estimation of the death resulting from accident. Adegbenro (2009) studied the road accidents trends in Nigeria between the period of 1960 and 1989 his study reveals a sharp increase in fatal accident occurrence. Between 1960 and 1969 it was observed that over 18000 death occur as a result of road accidents by the third decade (1980 – 1989) this figure had increase to about five times i.e. more than 9200 death. According to Eke (2001) it has however been observed that most of the factors involving in road accidents are created and control by man. Man initiated the process that may yield a road accident by traveling, he or she may travel as a pedestrian as a passenger in a vehicle or as the operator of the vehicle. Odero (1998) added that most vehicle operator also fail to ensure the road worthiness of their vehicle before they hit the highway which contributes majorly to road accidents in Nigeria. Occasionally, the vehicle operator fails to adhere to safety regulation for instance, fastening the seatbelt and ensuring safe condition of the vehicles. It has also been observed that during the festival periods and holidays, there are always more vehicles on the Nigeria highways and road, people tend to be rushing to meet certain commitment or to arrive at their destination earlier consequently, there are more accident during these periods than other time.

2.4 MOST ACCIDENTS HAVE BEEN CAUSED BY A WHOLE LOT OF FACTORS.  PROMINENT AMONG THEM ARE AS LISTED BELOW:   
1.Over-Speeding: Sometimes may be due to greediness or the tendency to drive as many turns as possible always want to be at the head of others, without considering the consequences.  By so doing them neglect road signs warnings and road traffic regulations and laws.  Thus, the risk of some dangerous.
2. Drugs/Alcohol: The side effects of drugs or alcohol our body cannot be over emphasized.  These cause drowsiness and finally sleep when during.  They lead to wrong calculations and loss of regard to lives of human beings and property of such driver concerned.  Some causes excessive alertness and nervousness, loss of control and finally a breakdown of the body system of such person involved.
3. Roads (Road Accidents Immune Delusion Syndrome):  Some drivers because they have driven a particular vehicle for years, taxi develop the feeling that they have overmastered the vehicle and also fully experienced do believe that they cannot be involved in road traffic accident, others or other drivers because of their belief either a shrine, ring, talisman, etc. do believe that they cannot be involved and/or die in road accident, they drive without regard to road traffic regulations and other road users.
4. The Road: The construction of the road matters a lot.  Roads with multiple bands experience many accidents.  Poorly constructed road witnesses many accidents e.g. presence of informal bumps, very narrow roads.  Roads that are poorly maintained cause a lot of accidents.  The absence of road signs also contributes to road accidents e.g. to show construction sites, narrow bridges, cross roads, bumps, “T” junction etc.
5Negligence of road Signs: Most Nigeria drivers are so illiterate that they cannot read road signs and as such endanger their lives and the lives of others and property.
6. Aggression: This is psychological.  Also result of or may be due to lack of sleep in the previous night due to one problem or the other.  The driver then wakes up annoyed and aggressive.  He jumps into the vehicle without the morning drills, quarrels with the vehicle passengers, co-drivers and road traffic officers etc. thus the risk of accident victimized and even others.   
7. The Weather: This comprises the rain and the sun and their effects on the roads.  The rains wet the roads and make them slippery therefore, tyres treads loose grip of the roads and render braking almost impossible as and when desired.  The sun heats up the tar on the road which in tam heats up the tyres.  When this happens, weak tyres tend to burst very easily.  Both conditions cause accidents on our road if not observed.
8. Topography:  This includes hilly, rocky forest and savanna areas.  Areas where the roads run in between hills particularly with dealing rock constitute a lot danger to road users.  Where such exits, viewing distance are shortened, the rocks can fall into the road at any time and cause accidents.  Likewise, where roads run across forests, trees, and/or their branches, many falls into the road and where this is not noticed in a good time, they can cause serious accidents.  Animal shiving is the forests can cross the roads at any time while grazing animals common in the savanna requires can also cause accidents.
9. Carelessness of Pedestrians: The other road user that is seen as the commonest – the pedestrian(s) may out of illiteracy and inexperience in using the road disobey the road traffic sign by crossing when it is not due for him or her to do so.  Or cross the busy road without looking left or tight as to see when the road is free for crossing.
10. Foods: It takes many drivers time to understand the effect of some foods on their body.  Most eat one type of food because others do.  They fail to understand that, while some people or such people will be active after a heavy food, others or themselves imitating feel dull and will be sleeping after such a heavy food and thus, endangering their lives and property while driving.
2.5 STATUTORY FUNCTIONS OF FRSC
The functions of the commission include:
1)      Making the high way safer for motorist and other road users.
2)      Recommending work and devices designed to eliminate or minimize accidents on the high way and advising the government on what to do about road problem in Nigeria.
3)      Educating motorist and members of the public on the importance of discipline on the road.
4)      Designing and production of drivers’ license and plate numbers to be used by various road users.
5)      Giving prompt attention and care to victim of road accident, conduct researches into the causes of the accident and method of preventing them and putting into use suchfinding.
6)      Determining speed limit for all road users.
7)      Providing roadside and mobile clinics for the treatment of accident victims free of charge.
In exercising these functions, the commission shall have the power to arrest and prosecute persons reasonably suspected of having committed any traffic offences. Federal Road Safety Commission of Nigeria is a body that aims at encouraging good driving habits and help reduce and limit the impact of Road traffic accidents.

CHAPTER THREE
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
3.1  Research design
The researcher used descriptive research survey design in building up this project work.The choice of this research design was considered appropriate because of its advantages of identifying attributes of a large population from a group of individuals. The design was suitable for the study as the study sought to a statistical analysis of road accidents in Ekiti State.
3.2 Sources of data collection
Data were collected from:
Primary source:
These are materials of statistical investigation which were collected by the research for a particular purpose. They can be obtained through a survey, observation questionnaire or as experiment; the researcher has adopted the questionnaire method for this study.
3.3  Population of the study
Population of a study is a group of persons or aggregate items, things the researcher is interested in getting information on the study a statistical analysis of road accidents in Nigeria. 200 staff of federal road safety commission in Akwa Ibom State was selected randomly by the researcher as the population of the study.
3.4  Sample and sampling procedure
Sample is the set people or items which constitute part of a given population sampling. Due to large size of the target population, the researcher used the Taro Yamani formula to arrive at the sample population of the study.


n= N
    1+N (e) 2
n= 200
1+200(0.05)2
= 200
1+200(0.0025)
= 200               200
1+0.5      =      1.5       = 133.

3.5 Instrument for data collection
The major research instrument used is the questionnaires. This was appropriately moderated. The secretaries were administered with the questionnaires to complete, with or without disclosing their identities. The questionnaire was designed to obtain sufficient and relevant information from the respondents. The primary data contained information extracted from the questionnaires in which the respondents were required to give specific answer to a question by ticking in front of an appropriate answer and administered the same on staff of the two organizations: The questionnaires contained structured questions which were divided into sections A and B.
3.6 Validation of the research instrument
The questionnaire used as the research instrument was subjected to face its validation. This research instrument (questionnaire) adopted was adequately checked and validated by the supervisor his contributions and corrections were included into the final draft of the research instrument used.
            

             3.7 Method of data analysis
The data collected was not an end in itself but it served as a means to an end. The end being the use of the required data to understand the various situations it is with a view to making valuable recommendations and contributions. To this end, the data collected has to be analysis for any meaningful interpretation to come out with some results. It is for this reason that the following methods were adopted in the research project for the analysis of the data collected. For a comprehensive analysis of data collected, emphasis was laid on the use of absolute numbers  frequencies of responses and percentages. Answers to the research questions were provided through the comparison of the percentage of workers response to each statement in the questionnaire related to any specified question being considered.
Frequency in this study refers to the arrangement of responses in order of magnitude or occurrence while percentage refers to the arrangements of the responses in order of their proportion. The simple percentage method is believed to be straight forward easy to interpret and understand method.
The researcher therefore chooses the simple percentage as the method to use.






CHAPTER FOUR
PRESENTATION ANALYSIS INTERPRETATION OF DATA
4.1 Introduction
Efforts will be made at this stage to present, analyze and interpret the data collected during the field survey.  This presentation will be based on the responses from the completed questionnaires. The result of this exercise will be summarized in tabular forms for easy references and analysis. It will also show answers to questions relating to the research questions for this research study. The researcher employed simple percentage in the analysis.
DATA ANALYSIS
The data collected from the respondents were analyzed in tabular form with simple percentage for easy understanding.
A total of 133(one hundred and thirty three) questionnaires were distributed and 133 questionnaires were returned.
Question 1
Gender distribution of the respondents.
TABLE I
Gender distribution of the respondents.
Response
Frequency
Percent
Valid Percent
Cumulative Percent
Male
77
57.9
57.9
57.9
Valid Female
56
42.1
42.1
100.0
Total
133
100.0
100.0


From the above table it shows that 57.9% of the respondents were male while 42.1% of the respondents were female.
Question 2
The positions held by respondents
TABLE II
Response
Frequency
Percent
Valid Percent
Cumulative Percent
Corps Commanders
37
27.8
27.8
27.8
Valid Route commanders
50
37.6
37.6
65.4
Senior officers
23
17.3
17.3
82.7
Junior officers
23
17.3
17.3
100.0
Total
133
100.0
100.0


The above tables shown that 37 respondents which represents27.8% of the respondents are corps commanders 50 respondents which represents 37.6 % are  route commanders 23 respondents which represents 17.3% of the respondents are senior officers, while 23 respondents which represent 17.3% of the respondents are junior officers

TEST OF HYPOTHESES
Road accidents in Nigeria does not based on age
Table III
Road accidents in Nigeria does not based on age
Response
Observed N
Expected N
Residual
Agreed
40
33.3
6.8
Strongly Agreed
50
33.3
16.8
Disagreed
26
33.3
-7.3
Strongly Disagreed
17
33.3
-16.3
Total
133



Test Statistics

Road accidents in Nigeria does not base on age
Chi-Square
19.331a
Df
3
Asymp.Sig.
.000
a.       0 cells (0.0%) have expected frequencies less than 5. The minimum expected cell frequency is 33.3.
Gender distribution of the respondents.
Decision rule:
There researcher therefore reject the null hypothesis that road accidents in Nigeria does not based on ageas the calculated value of 19.331 is greater than the critical value of 7.82 
Therefore the alternate hypothesis is accepted that road accidents in Nigeria is based on age

TEST OF HYPOTHESIS TWO
There is no statistical significant relationship between educational backgrounds and road accidents in Nigeria.
Table V
There is no statistical significant relationship between educational backgrounds and road accidents in Nigeria.
Response
Observed N
Expected N
Residual
Yes
73
44.3
28.7
No
33
44.3
11.3
Undecided
27
44.3
17.3
Total
33




Test Statistics

There is no statistical significant relationship between educational backgrounds and road accidents in Nigeria
Chi-Square
28.211a
Of
2
Asymp. Sig.
.000
a.       0 cells (0.0%) have expected frequencies less than 5. The minimum expected cell frequency is 44.3.
Decision rule: There researcher therefore reject the null hypothesis that there is statistical significant relationship between educational backgrounds and road accidents in Nigerians the calculated value of 28.211 is greater than the critical value of 5.99
Therefore the alternate hypothesis is accepted that state there is statistical significant relationship between educational backgrounds and road accidents in Nigeria










CHAPTER FIVE
SUMMARY, CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATION
 5.1 Summary
This study was on a statistical analysis of road accidents in Ekiti State Nigeria. Five objectives were raised which included: To know if road accidents in Nigeria are gender based, that is, do female road users fall victim of road accidents than their male counterparts, to equally know if road accidents in Nigeria are age based, to ascertain if there is a statistical significant relationship between educational background and road accidents in Nigeria, to know if record of road accidents in Nigeria has increased or not, to educate Nigerians and those interested in this study on the outcome of our research. In line with these objectives, two research hypotheses were formulated and two null hypotheses were posited. The total population for the study is 200 staff of federal road safety commission in Ekiti State. The researcher used questionnaires as the instrument for the data collection. Descriptive Survey research design was adopted for this study. A total of 133 respondents made up corps commanders, route commanders, senior officers and junior officerswere used for the study. The data collected were presented in tables and analyzed using simple percentages and frequencies
5.2 Conclusion
Analysis of qualitative data gathered during the present study summarizes two principle factors viz. human and environment as joint significant contributor to the occurrence of road accident in Nigeria. Human characteristics (rush and negligence) make the highest contribution to the road traffic accidents in the study area. The environmental factors are related to bad weather and poor road condition. In the present study, the highest number of accidents was observed in the peak rainy season during the months of July - September and the maximum number of victims were also highest compared to other seasons of the year.
           5.3 Recommendation
On the basis of the findings obtained from this research, the following are recommended,
 1. The Ekiti State Government should introduce road education in its basic system of education.
 2. The Ekiti State Government should pay more attention to the maintenance of high ways and roads in general for safe use of the citizens.
3. Personnel in charge of road should enforce the use of seatbelts by all motorists.
4. Driving license should be issued under strict compliance with the government regulations.
 5. Motor Vehicles should be inspected to ensure their road worthiness before registration










         


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